Estimation of Waiting Times for the Three Transient States of HIV Infection in Kenya

Stephen Kinyanjui Mwambura, Dr. Ivivi Mwaniki

Abstract: The methods that were employed in this project analyzed HIV data. The aim was to evaluate the evolution of HIV positive patients to bring out some significant factors associated with this pathology. Many clinical situations can be described in terms of the conditions that individuals can be in (states), how they can move among such states (transitions), and how likely such moves are (transition probabilities). State transition models were therefore best suited to analyze this decision problem. Transition probabilities from states 1, 2, and 3 into state 4 increased as time progressed. The estimated total length of stay in state 1 was longer than state 2 and 3 respectively.

Keywords: Transient state, HIV Infection, and Waiting Time.

Title: Estimation of Waiting Times for the Three Transient States of HIV Infection in Kenya

Author: Stephen Kinyanjui Mwambura, Dr. Ivivi Mwaniki

International Journal of Mathematics and Physical Sciences Research  

ISSN 2348-5736 (Online)

Research Publish Journals

Vol. 5, Issue 1, April 2017 – September 2017

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Estimation of Waiting Times for the Three Transient States of HIV Infection in Kenya by Stephen Kinyanjui Mwambura, Dr. Ivivi Mwaniki