Abstract: The objective of the research was to forecast the Fresh Fruit Bunches (FFB) production of oil palm managed by PT. ANA in East Petasia District, North Morowali Regency (Kabupaten Morowali Utara), using the "SARIMA Model" (9, 1, 1) (0, 1, 4)12. The location selection was done through purposive sampling considering that the area is one of the emerging oil palm centers in Central Sulawesi Province. The research approach used the Box-Jenkins Method of the SARIMA Model, which is an extension of the ARIMA Box-Jenkins model by incorporating seasonal variables. The results of the model identification indicate that the best model for forecasting the production of FFB of oil palm is managed by PT. ANA is the SARIMA Model (9, 1, 1) (0, 1, 4)12. The forecasting results show that the projected production of FFB of oil palm for the upcoming period is 78.060.472 tons, which is approximately 38,95% lower compared to the previous production in (2019).
Keywords: forecasting, palm oil, industry.
Title: Forecasting Sustainable Oil Palm Production (A Case Study Pt. Ana) In East Petasia District, North Morowali Regency
Author: Arifuddin Lamusa, Moh. Alfit A. Laihi, Faruq A.H. Lamusa, Ruth S, Samsul Bahri
International Journal of Management and Commerce Innovations
ISSN 2348-7585 (Online)
Vol. 11, Issue 1, April 2023 - September 2023
Page No: 309-319
Research Publish Journals
Website: www.researchpublish.com
Published Date: 11-July-2023
