Abstract: This research aims to determine a model that would predict the future broadband growth in Rwanda over a period of time. More often Organizations/Companies make predictions basing on the available technology based on the available data. But these data predictions more than often are influenced by disruptive technologies. This research was to therefore model the growth of internet broadband in Rwanda, with a view of technological changes and be able to predict the broadband growth irrespective of future technologies. This research targeted and collected data from all internet licensed operators in Rwanda. This model will help planners especially operators to determine how long a certain technology is likely to last, its output and be able to avoid unnecessary stocks that lead to losses due to obsolete technologies which are overtaken by new technologies. The Gompertz curve was for long been used only to actuaries but more recently, it has been used by many authors as growth curve both for biological and for economic purposes. The intention therefore was to determine the constants, Inflection, Straight line form of equation, Growth rate, Maximum growth rate, Relative growth rate as function, Relative growth rate as function of size.The research found out that the data fits the Gompertz model at 95% of confidence level. The parameters, Lambda λ(inflection growth rate), mu,µ(relative growth rate, A(Maximum growth rate) were computed to able to determine the model and to predict the future internet broadband requirement in Rwanda at any time (t).
Keywords: Inflection, Relative growth rate, Maximum growth rate, Gompertz model and Internet broadband.
Author: MODELLING THE GROWTH OF INTERNET BROADBAND IN RWANDA
Title: MARDADI Peter, Dr.KIGABO RUSHUZWA, Dr.Joseph K.MUNG’ATU
International Journal of Mathematics and Physical Sciences Research
ISSN 2348-5736 (Online)
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